Understanding the shelf life of players is an important element of team management, especially in a cap league. Early this week, Tyler Dellow did some excellent research for his article Why trading Max Pacioretty is a must for Canadiens. Last month, I also tweeted on the same subject - assessing a player's value in relation to age. Using similar data/perimeters (but not identical), our research concluded the same as Mr. Dellow. Below is the data visualization. Interacti
To answer this question, we had to consider that every era is different, so we looked at select players in the recent past. And only included players who's careers were already concluded, or were already past their "prime". The popular belief that player's production starts to decline at age 30, is backed-up by the data in this research; which shows a steady decline starts after age 29. Of course there are outliers. Players such as Patrick Marleau had some better periods of
All NHL draft selections from 1999 to 2017 plotted on this interactive graph reveals some interesting trends. Canadians selected are on decline, Americans fairly steady and Swedish-born players on strong incline. How about quality? Good question. A quick look at player nationalities chosen in the top 10 reveals that Canada is doing very well, including a recent high of 8 players in the top 10 in 2014. Both Sweden (4 in top 10 in 2011) and Finland with recent upward tends.